Showing posts with label theory. Show all posts
Showing posts with label theory. Show all posts
Thursday, January 12, 2012
Global Warming, the myth?
I feel it is time to take this debate now, to explain myself, argue my point and elaborate how I think: I don't believe in global warming! Or rather that global warming is due to human activity.
a. I don't believe that human activity affects the weather on a global scale. I find it narcissistic to believe that we can, no matter how much we try, affect something that big. I find the arguments of proof of this to be lacking; mainly the statistics of temperature change. The thing is that we only have widespread reliable measurements since the late 19th century, i.e. less than 150 years. And the temperature of the earth is something that varies on a geological and astronomical scale, i.e. in periods of thousands or even millions of years. People today often speak of how weird the weather is and that each year has some extreme; last year for example it was the coldest winter in like ever and this year it was the warmest winter in like the same ever. For me this is definitely true, I have in my lifetime never experienced a colder winter than last year and neither have I experienced a more temperate winter than this year.
But I’m only 30 years old and I remember when I was young how people talked about the wicked winter of 1979 when snow piled up so high you could ride your sledding from the rooftops of Bjärred (in Southern Sweden). Not to speak of the winter of 1658 (often spoken of as the little ice-age) when it was so cold that the Swedish armies of Karl X could walk over the straits between Scania and Denmark and took the Danish king Frederik III by surprise.
b. And then there is the supposed relation between human activity and geological activity. I’m talking about how some people draw parallels between pollution, global warming and earth quakes. How people as soon as there is news of a natural disaster comments that there are more natural disasters these days. The hint is actually in the name, they are natural! I found it ridiculous and again extremely narcissistic that someone could believe that we humans could actually affect how the continental platforms move. And I shouldn’t even have to argue that even on as short a period of time as a hundred years the average frequency of earth quakes of various powers is followed pretty accurately. And again these are geological effects which should be viewed in periods of hundreds of thousands of years rather than decades. The only thing that is more frequent is the information we get about these disasters.
c. Notice that I’ve completely left out the fact that the ice around the poles of the earth are melting. That is because I don’t see any proof of the relation between the melting of the global icecaps and human activity. Earth is getting warmer though; there is no doubt of that. The changes to the sea-ice in both the Arctic and Antarctic region affects mainly the local fauna which is not really noticed by us unless you watch nature shows. But the indirect effect of melting sea-ice is that it accelerates the warming; ice is white and reflects sunlight while water is dark and absorbs it, basically creating a vicious circle where the more ice that melts the warmer it will get and the more ice will melt.
Directly worse for us is the melting of the land-ice in these regions. Most prominent is the land-ice of Greenland which all in all would raise the sea level of the world seas by over 7m (which would probably put my family home underwater!). And this is nothing compared to the ice sheet on the Antarctic continent which is ten times as much as the Greenland ice sheet. The Greenland ice sheet is melting/flowing into the sea at a fairly fast rate, but this process will still take hundreds of years, by which time the trend might have changed (in either direction).
Another secondary effect of the melting ice is changes to the ocean currents. The only reason the area I live in, and actually most of Europe, is at all habitable is because of the Atlantic Gulfstream. Sweden is actually so far north that it far north the American border, way into Canada by comparison, or similarly in Russian Siberia, areas that are nearly completely inhabitable. Not to speak of the Swedish capital Stockholm which is already on level with the Northwest Territories in Canada, Alaska and, well still Siberia. And Europe is still habitable even far North of Stockholm and people live far into to Arctic Circle. Southern Europe is also affected; take Madrid for example, which is on the same Latitude as both Beijing and New York, both cities with cold winters (I’ve been in Beijing when the temperature was below -20 centigrade), while Madrid very rarely have temperatures below 0 (average temperature in Madrid in December and January is just below 10 centigrade).
So back to that secondary effect, how the warming up of the polar caps and the melting ice (both sea-ice and land-ice) could potentially change the ocean currents over time. This is also very much a geological phenomenon and will most likely be a gradual change over hundreds or even thousands of years, but even small changes to these currents can cause great changes to the local climate in some parts of the world, like for example here in Sweden.
d. Having said this I still believe pollution is bad and that we should be more environmentally concerned than we are. Pollution is bad and the way I see it there are more direct effects than global warming. For example there are local health problems; I’ve noticed while living in severely polluted areas that people seem sicker, they age faster and feel worse. There could of course be other factors to this, like overwork and stress, which seems to be coinciding with pollution more often than not.
I have a personal experience however; I seem to have contracted an allergy to some kind of pollution. I noticed a couple of years ago that I had a constant cough and runny nose that I at the time blamed on a cold. After seeing a doctor who stated that I did not have a cold, that it was probably an allergy and gave me antihistamines. The drugs worked and I got better. Now that is not much of an argument that it was caused by pollution, that argument is that while I needed to take the drugs daily while living in a polluted there is no effect at all where I’m living now. This could of course also be attributed to other factors.
My main argument is then that pollution feels bad. After living in an extremely polluted area for nearly a year, where the local geography and climate made it even worse, I could feel the harsh treatment of my throat and lungs and there were few things I craved more than fresh clean air.
Even in places that are not considered comparably polluted you can feel a difference. For example while going on skiing trips to northern Sweden the air feels cleaner than it does at home in the South. The South of Sweden is still like a polished white surface compared to the sooth-black air many other places in the world.
e. I don’t believe in global warming but I do believe in local warming; I have lived in a big city where in the city itself the temperature very rarely drops below 0 degrees centigrade, outside the city, only a couple of tens of kilometers, however the temperature seems to be several degrees lower. And this corresponds to historical readings, where only a few decades before it used to be that cold where the city is too.
Another very obvious effect of pollution is sooth. When you have to wash of a thick layer of sooth from your balcony at least once per month there is obviously a problem.
f. Having said all this I think there are things we can do about it. For example when it is cold in warm places (does that make sense?) it tends to “feel” much colder. I’ve discussed this with local people and argued that where I come from it is much colder but I will still be warmer, for which I’m always (yes always, every single time) counted with that we have central heating systems. Actually, we don’t. Apartment complexes often have, but not always. We do have heating though. But, to be honest I had eating in those warm places that were cold too. The difference is not about heating, it is about insulation. Warming up places with heat pumps, infrared heaters or various other heaters doesn’t help much if you don’t have any insulation to speak of. I still don’t understand the idea to build huge buildings without any insulation, sure it is more expensive to build but you must make up for that in reduced heating, and cooling, costs. Yes, cooling costs too. When the outdoors temperature is 35 centigrade and the humidity over 98% every single household will start blasting their air conditioners, and with poor insulation a lot of this cooling goes to waste. The best way to be warm is to stay warm, not to heat up.
Like I said in the beginning, I don’t believe in global warming from human activity. Earth is getting slightly warmer though and the polar caps are melting. And pollution is still bad and we should do all we can to not waste energy or materials.
a. I don't believe that human activity affects the weather on a global scale. I find it narcissistic to believe that we can, no matter how much we try, affect something that big. I find the arguments of proof of this to be lacking; mainly the statistics of temperature change. The thing is that we only have widespread reliable measurements since the late 19th century, i.e. less than 150 years. And the temperature of the earth is something that varies on a geological and astronomical scale, i.e. in periods of thousands or even millions of years. People today often speak of how weird the weather is and that each year has some extreme; last year for example it was the coldest winter in like ever and this year it was the warmest winter in like the same ever. For me this is definitely true, I have in my lifetime never experienced a colder winter than last year and neither have I experienced a more temperate winter than this year.
But I’m only 30 years old and I remember when I was young how people talked about the wicked winter of 1979 when snow piled up so high you could ride your sledding from the rooftops of Bjärred (in Southern Sweden). Not to speak of the winter of 1658 (often spoken of as the little ice-age) when it was so cold that the Swedish armies of Karl X could walk over the straits between Scania and Denmark and took the Danish king Frederik III by surprise.
b. And then there is the supposed relation between human activity and geological activity. I’m talking about how some people draw parallels between pollution, global warming and earth quakes. How people as soon as there is news of a natural disaster comments that there are more natural disasters these days. The hint is actually in the name, they are natural! I found it ridiculous and again extremely narcissistic that someone could believe that we humans could actually affect how the continental platforms move. And I shouldn’t even have to argue that even on as short a period of time as a hundred years the average frequency of earth quakes of various powers is followed pretty accurately. And again these are geological effects which should be viewed in periods of hundreds of thousands of years rather than decades. The only thing that is more frequent is the information we get about these disasters.
c. Notice that I’ve completely left out the fact that the ice around the poles of the earth are melting. That is because I don’t see any proof of the relation between the melting of the global icecaps and human activity. Earth is getting warmer though; there is no doubt of that. The changes to the sea-ice in both the Arctic and Antarctic region affects mainly the local fauna which is not really noticed by us unless you watch nature shows. But the indirect effect of melting sea-ice is that it accelerates the warming; ice is white and reflects sunlight while water is dark and absorbs it, basically creating a vicious circle where the more ice that melts the warmer it will get and the more ice will melt.
Directly worse for us is the melting of the land-ice in these regions. Most prominent is the land-ice of Greenland which all in all would raise the sea level of the world seas by over 7m (which would probably put my family home underwater!). And this is nothing compared to the ice sheet on the Antarctic continent which is ten times as much as the Greenland ice sheet. The Greenland ice sheet is melting/flowing into the sea at a fairly fast rate, but this process will still take hundreds of years, by which time the trend might have changed (in either direction).
Another secondary effect of the melting ice is changes to the ocean currents. The only reason the area I live in, and actually most of Europe, is at all habitable is because of the Atlantic Gulfstream. Sweden is actually so far north that it far north the American border, way into Canada by comparison, or similarly in Russian Siberia, areas that are nearly completely inhabitable. Not to speak of the Swedish capital Stockholm which is already on level with the Northwest Territories in Canada, Alaska and, well still Siberia. And Europe is still habitable even far North of Stockholm and people live far into to Arctic Circle. Southern Europe is also affected; take Madrid for example, which is on the same Latitude as both Beijing and New York, both cities with cold winters (I’ve been in Beijing when the temperature was below -20 centigrade), while Madrid very rarely have temperatures below 0 (average temperature in Madrid in December and January is just below 10 centigrade).
So back to that secondary effect, how the warming up of the polar caps and the melting ice (both sea-ice and land-ice) could potentially change the ocean currents over time. This is also very much a geological phenomenon and will most likely be a gradual change over hundreds or even thousands of years, but even small changes to these currents can cause great changes to the local climate in some parts of the world, like for example here in Sweden.
d. Having said this I still believe pollution is bad and that we should be more environmentally concerned than we are. Pollution is bad and the way I see it there are more direct effects than global warming. For example there are local health problems; I’ve noticed while living in severely polluted areas that people seem sicker, they age faster and feel worse. There could of course be other factors to this, like overwork and stress, which seems to be coinciding with pollution more often than not.
I have a personal experience however; I seem to have contracted an allergy to some kind of pollution. I noticed a couple of years ago that I had a constant cough and runny nose that I at the time blamed on a cold. After seeing a doctor who stated that I did not have a cold, that it was probably an allergy and gave me antihistamines. The drugs worked and I got better. Now that is not much of an argument that it was caused by pollution, that argument is that while I needed to take the drugs daily while living in a polluted there is no effect at all where I’m living now. This could of course also be attributed to other factors.
My main argument is then that pollution feels bad. After living in an extremely polluted area for nearly a year, where the local geography and climate made it even worse, I could feel the harsh treatment of my throat and lungs and there were few things I craved more than fresh clean air.
Even in places that are not considered comparably polluted you can feel a difference. For example while going on skiing trips to northern Sweden the air feels cleaner than it does at home in the South. The South of Sweden is still like a polished white surface compared to the sooth-black air many other places in the world.
e. I don’t believe in global warming but I do believe in local warming; I have lived in a big city where in the city itself the temperature very rarely drops below 0 degrees centigrade, outside the city, only a couple of tens of kilometers, however the temperature seems to be several degrees lower. And this corresponds to historical readings, where only a few decades before it used to be that cold where the city is too.
Another very obvious effect of pollution is sooth. When you have to wash of a thick layer of sooth from your balcony at least once per month there is obviously a problem.
f. Having said all this I think there are things we can do about it. For example when it is cold in warm places (does that make sense?) it tends to “feel” much colder. I’ve discussed this with local people and argued that where I come from it is much colder but I will still be warmer, for which I’m always (yes always, every single time) counted with that we have central heating systems. Actually, we don’t. Apartment complexes often have, but not always. We do have heating though. But, to be honest I had eating in those warm places that were cold too. The difference is not about heating, it is about insulation. Warming up places with heat pumps, infrared heaters or various other heaters doesn’t help much if you don’t have any insulation to speak of. I still don’t understand the idea to build huge buildings without any insulation, sure it is more expensive to build but you must make up for that in reduced heating, and cooling, costs. Yes, cooling costs too. When the outdoors temperature is 35 centigrade and the humidity over 98% every single household will start blasting their air conditioners, and with poor insulation a lot of this cooling goes to waste. The best way to be warm is to stay warm, not to heat up.
Like I said in the beginning, I don’t believe in global warming from human activity. Earth is getting slightly warmer though and the polar caps are melting. And pollution is still bad and we should do all we can to not waste energy or materials.
Sunday, August 8, 2010
Dimensions
I'm pretty sure that you can consider color a dimension. I'm not just saying this out of the somewhat incapacitated mindset I'm just in but from a deeper though of comprehension of the world. We do define the world in terms of space and time and agree that a three dimensional space combinded with time is our minds the way things work. But as we have discovered color is just a wavelength of photons and photons are per definition (in a very difficutly comprehensible way) the relation between time and space, that appears, at least to me, to be the relation between time and space. So from this you could reflect or reinterprent at least one demension (preferably time as it is in time rather than space that color changes) on color and say that color is what spans up our world and time is just a value in the color dimension over a field in the three space dimenisions. This would of course complicate all mathematics regarding things like speed and acceleration to such a degree that it is nearly completely incomprehensable, but since we already comprehend things like speed and acceleration (and the changes of acceleration to any deriviable degree) we might actually benefit and understand other things that we can't comprehend in the dimensions we think in today.
I'm not challenging space and time as the proper dimensions we should consdier but rather saying that if something is only defined in time against space then why can't we use that dimension instead and define any of our proper dimension (preferably time as color is prety much linear and just directional in space) of that instead.
I say challenege the intellectual mind of anything and dream up a way we can concieve the world in a different but still rather concrete way.
And don't even bother asking me to do the math for this, I just can't. But I do know enough of linear algebra that if something is in one N-dimensional room you can reflect on it and use it as a dimension, and at least in my current state I'm convinced that color is something that can be a dimension rather than a variable value in a room.
I'm not challenging space and time as the proper dimensions we should consdier but rather saying that if something is only defined in time against space then why can't we use that dimension instead and define any of our proper dimension (preferably time as color is prety much linear and just directional in space) of that instead.
I say challenege the intellectual mind of anything and dream up a way we can concieve the world in a different but still rather concrete way.
And don't even bother asking me to do the math for this, I just can't. But I do know enough of linear algebra that if something is in one N-dimensional room you can reflect on it and use it as a dimension, and at least in my current state I'm convinced that color is something that can be a dimension rather than a variable value in a room.
Saturday, January 3, 2009
Promiscuous lies
People lie because people want to hear lies. Or rather people don't want to hear the truth. The truth is always there to be seen but we tend to be very selective in what we see.
It is like with how the eye can actually only register a tiny dot at any single moment and how the imagine of the world we perceive is built out of a series of dots and moments. But there is never enough time to see every dot so we try to select what is most interesting. We are still somewhat blind.
So we build up our world out of all the information we have and it is not as flat and static as our vision and that means there are so much more dimension to be versatile.
Everybody lies. But is hiding the truth by leaving it out also lying? Or saying one truth to distract from or have another truth distorted? I think morally it is easier for us to just neglect to tell the truth and easier yet to cover one truth with another.
We think we want to know the truth about everything but the truth is that is just lying to ourselves; we still know that we don't want to get hurt and the truth is all too often very painful.
So do you think you are the only one for him? You believe it because you want to, because he never told you otherwise. He never told you that either but that is easy to forget. You need him to lie to you because there is actually only a small chance that he is telling the truth, if he can have others he has.
She is just as bad though;
who lies more, men or women?
who cheats more, men or women?
You have your own answer I'm sure but mine is that it probably is the most equal thing there is between the sexes.
who lies better then, men or women?
Here I think women are better; it is actually "proven" (it can be discussed how that is proven) that women are more orally inventive than men which should make it easier for them to lie. I personally think women are better liars because it is harder for them to cheat; it doesn't take much creativity to come up with a 'no' anyway.
We still want to trust people, and we don't want to be proven wrong about them so we want them to keep lying to us. And I will almost completely trust anyone I make friends with, at least to a point where it doesn't jeopardize my security. I'm also very open with my friends myself but I have discovered that it is not very appreciated all the time, and there is always a point when I don't like to share everything anymore and lies starts to come easier.
Even though everybody lies not everything is promiscuous though; there are still people out there, both men and women, who don't have to lie about those things. But isn't it rather naive to think that your partner or target of interest is one of those?
It is like with how the eye can actually only register a tiny dot at any single moment and how the imagine of the world we perceive is built out of a series of dots and moments. But there is never enough time to see every dot so we try to select what is most interesting. We are still somewhat blind.
So we build up our world out of all the information we have and it is not as flat and static as our vision and that means there are so much more dimension to be versatile.
Everybody lies. But is hiding the truth by leaving it out also lying? Or saying one truth to distract from or have another truth distorted? I think morally it is easier for us to just neglect to tell the truth and easier yet to cover one truth with another.
We think we want to know the truth about everything but the truth is that is just lying to ourselves; we still know that we don't want to get hurt and the truth is all too often very painful.
So do you think you are the only one for him? You believe it because you want to, because he never told you otherwise. He never told you that either but that is easy to forget. You need him to lie to you because there is actually only a small chance that he is telling the truth, if he can have others he has.
She is just as bad though;
who lies more, men or women?
who cheats more, men or women?
You have your own answer I'm sure but mine is that it probably is the most equal thing there is between the sexes.
who lies better then, men or women?
Here I think women are better; it is actually "proven" (it can be discussed how that is proven) that women are more orally inventive than men which should make it easier for them to lie. I personally think women are better liars because it is harder for them to cheat; it doesn't take much creativity to come up with a 'no' anyway.
We still want to trust people, and we don't want to be proven wrong about them so we want them to keep lying to us. And I will almost completely trust anyone I make friends with, at least to a point where it doesn't jeopardize my security. I'm also very open with my friends myself but I have discovered that it is not very appreciated all the time, and there is always a point when I don't like to share everything anymore and lies starts to come easier.
Even though everybody lies not everything is promiscuous though; there are still people out there, both men and women, who don't have to lie about those things. But isn't it rather naive to think that your partner or target of interest is one of those?
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